TNS have been given only a 6.9% likelihood of reaching the knockout phases of the UEFA Convention League, based on a supercomputer.
The Cymru Premier champions are competing within the group phases of a serious European competitors for the primary time of their historical past. Nonetheless, laptop boffins have dashed their hopes of constructing any progress.
Twitter accounts Soccer Rankings and Piotr Klimek have come collectively to formulate each staff’s end result within the competitors this season. Chelsea have been given a 100% likelihood of ending within the high 24, and have an 87.1% likelihood of ending within the high eight, which might give them a bye to the subsequent spherical.
TNS play their first match towards Fiorentina this night (October 3) and they’re tipped to complete third. They’ve obtained a 99.9% chance of going by means of to the subsequent spherical and may undergo to the Spherical of 16.
As for his or her different opponents, Panathinaikos are one place behind Fiorentina, however there’s a 26.7% better likelihood of the Italian facet ending within the high eight over the Greek outfit. Djurgardens are the very best in thirteenth, after which there’s Shamrock Rovers in twenty fifth, Astana in twenty sixth and Celje in twenty seventh.
If TNS are to progress to the knock-out rounds, they have to end within the high 24. They’re really predicted to complete third from backside with Petrocub and NIFL Premiership Larne the one two groups beneath them.
Petrocub beat TNS in UEFA Europa League qualifying again in August. The Moldovan champions gained 1-0 within the first leg, after which at Park Corridor there was a goalless draw with Jordan Williams despatched off.
The competitors has already obtained underway with Portuguese facet Vitoria SC defeating Celje on Wednesday and İstanbul Basaksehir shedding 2-1 to Speedy Wien.
Scottish Premiership facet Hearts who play Dinamo Minsk in Azerbaijan tonight, are the one different British staff anticipated to undergo, however will probably be shut. They’re anticipated to pip League of Eire champions Shamrock Rovers to the ultimate spot, with Stephen Bradley’s males ending twenty fifth.
Predicted Convention League desk (xPts, xGD, Likelihood of High 8, Likelihood of High 16, and Likelihood of High 24)
Chelsea – 14.35, 13.82, 87.1%, 98.9%, 100%
Actual Betis – 14.34, 13.07, 85.8%, 98.2%, 99.9%
Fiorentina – 14.03, 13.13, 82.8%, 97.8%, 99.9%
Panathiniakos – 12.12, 8.55, 56.1%, 89.1%, 98.6%
Gent – 11.87, 7.27, 51.6%, 89.1 %, 98.6%
FC Copenhagen – 11.75, 6.80, 48.8%, 85.3%, 97.6%
Heidenheim – 11.63, 7.12, 47.2%, 85.3%, 94.6%
Molde – 11.60, 6.64, 46.3%, 81.%, 94.6%
Vitoria S.C. – 11.36, 5.39, 42.91%, 78.9%, 93.6%
Cercle Brugge – 11.36, 5.39, 42.9%, 78.9%, 95.4%
Speedy Wien – 10.56, 4.88, 31.3%, 71.3%, 94.4%
Omonia Nicosia – 10.33, 3.36, 27.9%, 68.0%, 87.7%
Djurgarden – 9.84, 3.44, 23.3%, 60.3%, 83.4%
Lugano – 9.88, 2.27, 24.3%, 59.9%, 85.7%
Legia Warszawa – 9.57, 2.35, 19.3%, 56.9%, 85.0%
Istanbul Basakehir – 9.21, 2.21, 16.3%, 51.5%, 85.0%
LASK – 9.18, 2.19, 17.1%, 51.1%, 84.0%
Olimpija Ljubljana – 8.70, 0.70, 10.5%, 43.1%, 79.8%
APOEL Nicosia – 8.62, 0.60, 10.5%, 40.4%, 78.3%
St.Gallen – 8.55, 0.23, 9.3%, 38.5%, 79.1%
Pafos – 8.07, -.1.74, 6.2%, 31.6%, 72.7%
Jagiellonia Bialystok – 7.70, -.1.84, 5.1%, 27.3%, 66.3%
Mlada Boleslav – 7.57, -1.46, 4.8%, 26.3%, 64.8%
Hearts – 7.68, -.399, 2.8%, 25.0%, 65.1%
Shamrock Rovers – 6.89, -3.09, 3.9%, 20.2%, 53.9%
Astana – 6.17, -4.37, 2.0%, 12.5%, 42.8%
Noah – 6.35, -5.61, 1.1%, 11.6%, 43.6%
Celje – 5.92, -6.51, 0.4%, 7.4%, 35.0%
TSC Backa Topola – 5.71, -6.10, 1.1%, 8.4%, 33.6%
Dinamo Minsk – 5.09, -7.65, 0.5%, 4.6%, 24.%
HKJ Helsinki – 4.63, -10.22, 0.1%, 2.2%, 16.8%
Borac Banja Luka – 4.05, -7.86, 0.4%, 3.6%, 16.8%
Vikingur Reykjavik – 4.17, -9.70, 0.2%, 1.8%, 13.6%
TNS- 3.03, -11.95, 0.1%, 1.1%, 6.9%
Petrocub – 2.86, -12.30, 0.0%, 0.7%, 5.5%
Larne – 2.30, -14.77, 0.0%, 0.2%, 2.5%
(Featured Picture: Sam Eaden/FAW)