Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

We look forward to Sunday’s Premier League recreation at Stamford Bridge with our Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction and preview. Are the Blues outdoors title contenders?

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: The Key Insights

• The Opta supercomputer is giving Chelsea a 52% win chance for this conflict.
• Chelsea, nevertheless, are winless of their final three Premier League conferences with Aston Villa.
• Villa have received their final two league video games at Stamford Bridge.

For all of the pre-season speak of a bloated squad and the chaotic state of Chelsea behind the scenes, Enzo Maresca has loved a robust begin as Blues coach.

Chelsea sit in third place within the Premier League heading into Matchday 13, above Arsenal on purpose distinction, and have misplaced simply twice within the Premier League this season.

On Thursday, their second string edged them nearer to development within the UEFA Convention League with a 2-0 win at Heidenheim, and Maresca has used that competitors to offer fringe gamers an opportunity whereas resting the likes of star man Cole Palmer.

However the place Chelsea have come unstuck is when going through fellow ‘large six’ opponents. They’ve misplaced to Manchester Metropolis and Liverpool, whereas drawing in opposition to Manchester United and Arsenal.

Aston Villa don’t fall into the standard ‘large six’, however they completed within the high 4 final season and on Wednesday held European heavyweights Juventus to a 0-0 draw within the Champions League. They have been denied a late winner when Morgan Rogers had a purpose disallowed for a foul on the goalkeeper by Diego Carlos.

However Unai Emery’s workforce are winless of their final 4 Premier League video games (D2 L2). They final went 5 with no win between Could and August 2022, whereas they final did so in the identical season in March/April 2022 (each runs underneath Steven Gerrard). That run of type has seen them drop to eighth, although such is the congested nature of the Premier League, they’re solely three factors behind Chelsea forward of Sunday’s conflict at Stamford Bridge.

After successive attracts, the Blues bounced again by beating Leicester Metropolis 2-1 final week – a consequence that finally led to the top of Steve Cooper’s Foxes tenure.

Nicolas Jackson was closely concerned, scoring one and enjoying a component in Chelsea’s winner, as his header was saved earlier than Enzo Fernandez nodded in on the rebound. 5 of Jackson’s seven Premier League targets this season have put Chelsea 1-0 forward within the match – coming into this weekend’s video games, solely Chris Wooden (six) has scored the opening purpose in additional totally different video games this time period.

Pulling the strings behind Jackson will nearly definitely be Palmer. No participant has created extra possibilities from open play within the Premier League this season than the England worldwide (28). Villa are certainly one of simply three sides Palmer has failed to attain or help in opposition to within the league since becoming a member of the Blues (two appearances), together with Liverpool (two) and Leicester (one).

Simply 41% of Chelsea’s Premier League factors this season have are available in house video games (9/22), the bottom ratio of any facet, so rediscovering that successful contact at Stamford Bridge can be essential if Maresca goes to, on the very least, safe Champions League qualification this time period.

They might additionally must shore up on the again. Chelsea have conceded at the least as soon as in all six of their Premier League house video games this season – they final had an extended look forward to a house clear sheet from the beginning of a league marketing campaign in 1978-79 (9 video games).

Villa have scored each a league-high complete (six) and share (32%) of their Premier League targets through headers this season, together with Ross Barkley’s equaliser in opposition to Crystal Palace final day trip. Because it stands, it’s their highest share of headed targets in a single top-flight marketing campaign since 2001-02 (33% – 15/46).

Ollie Watkins, in the meantime, has scored in his final two Premier League away video games in opposition to Chelsea, with each ending up being the successful purpose within the match. No visiting participant has ever scored three match-winning targets at Stamford Bridge within the competitors.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head

Villa have received their final two Premier League away video games in opposition to Chelsea, as many as of their earlier 21 visits to Stamford Bridge (D4 L15).

They final received three consecutive away league video games in opposition to the Blues between 1930 and 1933.

Chelsea are winless of their final three Premier League conferences with Aston Villa (D1 L2), final having an extended such run in opposition to them between February 2006 and December 2007 (5).

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Regardless of their current type in opposition to Villa, Chelsea are made the favourites by Opta’s supercomputer. The Blues have a 52% win chance.

Villa have a 25.2% likelihood of taking three factors, whereas the chance of a draw is 22.8%.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups

Opta Energy Rankings

The Opta Energy Rankings are a worldwide workforce rating system. They assign a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups. This rating is on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked workforce on the planet and 100 is the perfect workforce on the planet.

Forward of kick-off this weekend, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for either side.

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