Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction | Opta Analyst

Look forward to this Premier League recreation at Anfield with our Liverpool vs Brighton prediction and preview.

Liverpool vs Brighton Stats: The Key Insights

• The Opta supercomputer has Liverpool as favourites, with the hosts profitable 64.1% of match simulations to Brighton’s 17.2%.
• Victory for the Reds would see Arne Slot develop into the Liverpool supervisor with essentially the most wins of their first 10 top-flight video games.
• Mohamed Salah has been concerned in 15 targets in 14 Premier League video games towards Brighton.

Arne Slot can be trying to make Liverpool historical past when his facet host Brighton and Hove Albion on Saturday.

After Liverpool fought again twice to attract 2-2 at fellow title hopefuls Arsenal final Sunday in a pulsating Premier League conflict, Slot has a file of seven wins, one draw and only a solitary defeat via his first 9 Premier League video games. Had been he to assert three factors towards the Seagulls, he would develop into the supervisor with essentially the most top-flight wins via their first 10 video games accountable for the membership.

Liverpool have been trailing for simply 75 minutes and 28 seconds within the Premier League this time period, a file bettered solely by Arsenal (41m 48s). Whereas behind, Liverpool have confronted solely two pictures and given up an xG of simply 0.3 per 90, each league-low figures.

Mohamed Salah, who scored the Reds’ second equaliser final week, has traditionally been a dangerman towards the Seagulls. The Egyptian celebrity has 15 purpose involvements in 14 Premier League video games towards them, scoring 9 and aiding six. The one crew he has a greater file towards for purpose involvements within the competitors is Manchester United (18).

Salah has been in excellent kind underneath Slot within the early levels of the marketing campaign, contributing six targets and 5 assists. That’s an involvement of 65% in Liverpool’s Premier League targets this time period (11/17), the very best ratio for any participant within the high flight to this point.

Brighton have additionally excelled underneath a brand new head coach in 31-year-old Fabian Hürzeler, and are sixth regardless of conceding twice late on to attract 2-2 with Wolves final weekend.

Selection has actually been the spice of life for the Seagulls, with Brighton having extra completely different goalscorers (9) than some other top-flight facet. Danny Welbeck has notched six of their targets and his subsequent Premier League strike will see him develop into their joint-top goalscorer within the competitors on 30, stage with Pascal Groß.

If Welbeck have been to attain towards Liverpool, it could see him rating in 4 straight Premier League matches for the primary time in his profession. Certainly, his six targets to date this season already represents his joint-best for the Seagulls, whereas he has solely managed extra in a marketing campaign with Manchester United (scoring 9 in each 2011-12 and 2013-14).

Brighton have been fairly medical this season, scoring 16 occasions from an xG of 13.2. Leicester Metropolis (13 targets, 9.1 xG) and Wolves (12 targets, 8.9 xG) are the one groups to have overperformed extra when it comes to targets to xG.

These two performed out one thing of a costume rehearsal on Wednesday within the Carabao Cup fourth spherical. Liverpool superior to the quarter-finals on the south coast as 3-2 winners on the Amex Stadium. Cody Gakpo scored twice for the guests earlier than Luis Díaz added a late third. Simon Adingra and Tariq Lamptey discovered the online for Brighton late on.

Liverpool won’t have Diogo Jota again earlier than the November worldwide break, whereas Alisson, Harvey Elliott and Federico Chiesa additionally stay sidelined.

Brighton will hope to have Yankuba Minteh and Jack Hinshelwood accessible, however Lewis Dunk, Matt O’Riley, James Milner, Adam Webster and Joao Pedro will all be absent.

Liverpool vs Brighton Head-to-Head

Liverpool received their first six Premier League encounters towards Brighton, however have since received simply two of the earlier eight (D4 L2).

Whereas the Reds did win final season’s corresponding fixture 2-1, the Seagulls have taken 5 factors from their previous 4 visits to Anfield – greater than they managed of their first 11 journeys to Anfield.

Brighton have really opened the scoring in every of the previous 4 Premier League encounters between the perimeters, however have received solely a kind of matches (D2 L1).

Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction

Liverpool are clear favourites with the Opta supercomputer on this contest, triumphing in 64.1% of the ten,000 simulations carried out.

Brighton have been victorious solely 17.2% of the time, whereas the 2 sides drew in 18.7% of the outcomes.

Relating to the season as a complete, Liverpool are second within the precise desk and have a 52.1% probability of ending there come the top of the marketing campaign. They’re statistically extra more likely to end third (26.1%) than high of the desk (16.9%).

Brighton are using excessive in sixth and have a 14.1% probability of remaining there. The Seagulls’ outcomes are rather less predictable, with seventh (15%) the probably as issues stand.

Liverpool vs Brighton Predicted Lineups

Opta Energy Rankings

The Opta Energy Rankings are a world crew rating system that assigns a capability rating to over 13,000 home soccer groups on a scale between zero and 100, the place zero is the worst-ranked crew on this planet and 100 is the very best crew on this planet.

Forward of kick-off this weekend, right here is the Opta Energy Rating for each side.

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